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5月28日

Scott McClellan's Timing

  You know, there is nothing quite like releasing a politically nuclear book during a presidential election to cast speculation and doubt on an authors integrity and intent.  Below is a sort of loose chronology of the events, and while I didn't really follow this story, it appears that threats of this book have been dangled before us for a couple of years at least.  The book, What Happened: Inside the Bush White House and Washington's Culture of Deception, is commented on by the Washington post which received an advance copy.  They refer to the criticism of Bush as "striking, given that it comes from a man who followed him to Washington from Texas."  I believe this man probably has a lot to say and is probably very brave for saying it.  I hope as I muddle through the details of this story it becomes clear the reason for the timing on the release of this book, and that the reason is a good one.

Press briefing by Scott McClellan 07/11/2005

Former aide McClellan Blames Bush,Rove in CIA case 11/20/2007

McClellan points finger at Bush,Rove 11/21/2007

Did Bush ask Scott McClellan to lie or didn't he? 11/21/2007

Publisher: McClellan doesn't believe Bush Lied 11/21/2007

Scott McClellan Didn't out Bush for High Crimes...Cheney Did.  11/23/2007

McClellan whacks Bush, White House 05/27/08

Scott McClellan Knifes the White House 05/27/2008

Former WH Press Secretary, Scott McClellan, Finally Says What the Rest of the World Has Known for Six Years 05/28/08

McClellan on Sourcewatch User edited wiki, ought to be fun to watch.

 

5月23日

All Players On Stage Please

DING! We Have a Winner!


For several months I've blogged about the 'unnamed' contributors to the mortgage crisis that had yet to really be named. Check Confessions, Opinions, Rocket Science or Fraud for some background on my perspective. Today the Senator from Pennsylvania Robert P. Casey Jr. speaking at the Housing & Urban Development Secretary Confirmation asks Nominee Steven Preston, regarding standards that apply to the appraisal issue, "it's my understanding that HUD has eliminated the test for appraisers, and just want to get your sense of that, I've been deeply concerned about this aspect of the challenge that we have with housing, that we have independent appraisals, that we get them done in a very professional way, that the people that are doing the appraisal work have the kind of skill and background and education. I have an amendment on that that was included in the legislation we passed Tuesday. Senator Martinez and I worked together on appraisal issues and I appreciate his work on that as a former HUD secretary and now as a United States Senator, but I wanted your sense of that in terms of the testing issue and also with regard to relaxing of repair and inspection requirements, just get your perspective on both those issues."
 
Here you will find some detail of Mr. Casey's thinking on the appraiser issue. While his concern seems to stem from a 'Flipping' scheme, the effects of his efforts should have the desired results across the board. In my own experience as well as from looking at defaulted loan information it is clear that these appraisers had their hands in more than just some flipping scheme. Wherever sales prices jumped that is where you will find the 'bumped' appraisal value. From including comparables far outside the usual range without substantial justification to adding imaginary outbuildings and other improvements and who knows what else.
 
S. 2860 Fair Value and Independent Appraisal Act information.
 
 
5月14日

Policy Talks@Google: Ralph Nader


  

Nader is not easily dazzled by technological wonders. The Nader Team Blog

Fuel our Illinois Drive.Throughout his career, Nader has confronted head-on the downside of nuclear, automobile, genetic engineering and other industrial advances.

And now he's questioning the enormous amount of time we spend in front of our computers.Has Google and the information revolution that it leads made our society better?Or is it just another mass diversion from the reality of the corporate takeover of our democracy?

At Googleland, Nader took questions for an hour. And then sat down for an eight-minute interview with Youtube.Nader/Gonzalez is confronting head-on the reality of the corporate takeover of our democracy.

As you know this week, we are raising money to get Nader/Gonzalez on the ballot in the Land of Lincoln - Illinois.

In just five short days, 462 of you - on-line and face-to-face at Nader/Gonzalez rallies on the West Coast - have donated $43,718.

Thank you.

5月7日

Jason Castro - Somewhere Over the Rainbow

 

Quote

YouTube - Jason Castro American Idol top 8 Somewhere Over the Rainbow
  

This is probably the most inspirational, moving performance I have heard in years.  Take the time to listen to and copy this, listen to it daily like I do, you will find it comforting, moving, sorrowful and joyous and maybe more.

5月4日

Mortgage Fraud on the Table But..

Resolving the mortgage fiasco is going impossibly long, and while words like 'fraud' and 'scam' have been floating since the beginning, they are really only now making big news. Unfortunately they still haven't much referenced the collusion between the lenders and appraisers, and in taking it a step further, the local assessor officials. I began blogging at the beginning of this mess, Not Rocket Science and Confessions of a Mortgage Broker, trying to illuminate the 'Big Picture' in my view regarding the chain of events and participants. Appraisers and local property assessors played a bigger role in my situation than has been discussed in any meaningful way, and as events unfold it becomes more and more clear that my situation mirrors the national situation pretty closely. That having been said, I do not suffer from a 'impending doom' adjustable mortgage, and I did manage to buy my properties before the effects of what was happening hit the actual prices.

I will blog more about my own story another day, for now I just want to re-state the chain of events as I see them:

  • Interest rates drop to insulate us from the global economic decline of late '80's early '90's.
  • Home mortgage rates decline a sufficient amount (8% to 6%) to spur massive refinance loans.
  • Increase in refinance opportunities spawns massive increase in new lending company openings.
  • Increase in new loans spawns massive increase in new appraisal company openings.
  • Rate decrease lowers monthly payments on small 1st time buyer type homes enough to entice marginal buyers.
  • Greed Kicks In.
  • Inexperienced or questionable lenders target sub-prime market, develop/enhance 'no document' type loans.
  • Above spurs 'Sellers Market' in home sales, agents take cue and raise sales prices.
  • Lenders 'acquire' friendly appraisers to bump values and justify newly raised prices.
  • Lenders/Underwriters accept new valuation methods from appraisers.
  • Local assessors looking to boost revenue make record number of rate increases over 10 year period keeping up with market values.
  • Lull in action spurs intense ads targeting sub-prime market with adjustable rates.
  • Refi's and new purchases slow, huge pool of lenders look to create business, increase 'no document' type loans, rates stay low, prices continue to rise without value.
  • After the first few rounds of adjustables become due, large numbers head into default causing loan qualifications to tighten. Borrowers look to refi as instructed but find qualifying tougher, and lower home values no longer match loan amounts.
  • Massive defaults of sub-prime adjustable rate loans.
  • Lower values make even fixed rate loans virtually un-refinanceable.
  • Lenders (also the President and Mr. Mccain) blame irresponsible borrowers.

The rest, as they say, is history. A huge number of other things contributed to our situation, had all of these things happened at any other time it may not have ended with the same result. We need to clearly identify the failings in the system and make adjustments. This is a very good example of how a 'Free Market' approach with no real oversight or regulation doesn't come close to being a good idea. Free market for razor blades and cabinet doors, sure, but lets get together on things that effect our country as a whole like lending, health, transportation, energy and lets not forget military.

How Fraud Fueled the Mortgage Crisis:

"Brokers pushed borrowers to lie, lenders misled and ratings agencies looked the other way.
The debate over what caused the mortgage mess and how best to fix it is now taking a sharp turn, as new problems surrounding liar's loans and payment-option mortgages reveal the pervasive fraud, lying and deceit that permeated the market at its height.
As loans made to borrowers with decent credit begin to fail at a surprisingly rapid rate, it's becoming clear that widespread fraud helped support the entire mortgage system - from borrowers who lied on their loans, to brokers who encouraged it, to lenders who misled some low income borrowers, to the many lenders, investors and ratings agencies that conveniently and deliberately looked the other way as profits rolled in."


"Despite its widespread role, fraud hasn't yet been at the forefront of proposed rescue plans, which center on refinancing people out of loans now resetting to higher rates. That may begin to change as the mortgage market continues a meltdown that seems to have no end. As fraud becomes a focus, the question of who did most of the lying and cheating will be crucial in deciding who deserves help in any housing rescue plan. "

"Many people point the finger at investors playing the market or homeowners who bought more expensive houses than they could afford - the "irresponsible" borrowers cited by both President George W. Bush and probable Republican nominee Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.). "
By Mary Kane 
The Washington Independent